8 Aug · 22:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1655
FormWWLLW
87%Win chancemodel fair 1.15Fomin
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1232
FormLWLWL
87%
13%
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 87% · 1.15vsMarket 93% · 1.08· vig 4%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 74%Total ~72 pts
3-0
43%
3-1
30%
3-2
13%
2-3
6%
1-3
5%
Elo Gap+423
H2H35-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+423)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (35-11)