9 Aug · 00:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Maciej Kolek
ELO 1607
FormWWWWW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Kolek
BS
🇵🇱Bartosz Sulkowski
ELO 1415
FormLLWWW
70%
30%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sulkowski🌟Kolek goes over total as favourite 75% (28)
Fair odds · Kolek
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~74 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+192
H2H37-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+192)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (37-27)