9 Aug · 00:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1545
FormLLLWL
80%Win chancemodel fair 1.25Kubiak
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pyda
ELO 1230
FormLLLWL
80%
20%
🌟Kubiak stays under total as favourite 65% (57)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 80% · 1.25vsMarket 86% · 1.17· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 68%Total ~73 pts
3-0
40%
3-1
28%
3-2
12%
2-3
9%
1-3
7%
Elo Gap+315
H2H64-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+315)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (64-6)