9 Aug · 00:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1375
FormLLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Nowak
JM
🇵🇱Jakub Michalski
ELO 1259
FormLLLWL
63%
37%
🌟Nowak goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Nowak
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 61% · 1.63· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+116
H2H19-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+116)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-15)