9 Aug · 00:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TK
🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik
ELO 1630
FormWWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kocik
CP
🇵🇱Cezary Pawlik
ELO 1589
FormLLLLL
55%
45%
🌟Kocik covers set handicap as favourite 67% (18)
Fair odds · Kocik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+41
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+41)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)