9 Aug · 05:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Robert Szymik
ELO 1498
FormWLWWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Szymik
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1366
FormWLLLL
64%
36%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Szymik
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H22-16
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-16)