09 Aug · 01:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1366
3-0Final setsNowak won
DF
🇵🇱Damian Fira
ELO 1406
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Fira at 57%. The actual result was Jakub Nowak 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Jakub Nowak favoured — closing 1.65
Total 76.5
53 points played
Set handicap
Jakub Nowak −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Jakub Nowak −2.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Nowak is favoured to win, below means Damian Fira.
▲ Jakub Nowakpre 46% → final 100%
Damian Fira ▼
Biggest swing 57 ptsNowak recovered from 43%52 points · 3 games