9 Aug · 06:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1427
FormLLWLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1649
FormLLWLW
27%
73%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 74% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~77 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+222
H2H9-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+222)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-2)