9 Aug · 06:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1303
FormLLLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Piotrowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1412
FormWLWWW
38%
62%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 71% (21)
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)