9 Aug · 06:25 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1460
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Koczyba
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1568
FormLWLWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Koczyba
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+108
H2H19-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+108)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-3)