9 Aug · 07:15 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1658
FormWWLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Poliniewicz
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1508
FormLWLLL
66%
34%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H6-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-1)