9 Aug · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1329
FormLWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1349
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 35% · 2.84· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.