9 Aug · 09:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1511
FormLLLLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1580
FormWWWLW
42%
58%
🌟Oracz covers set handicap as underdog 65% (17)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H20-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-14)