9 Aug · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RC
🇵🇱Radoslaw Chrzescian
ELO 1579
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Chrzescian
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1504
FormLLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Chrzescian
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)