9 Aug · 09:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1454
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Pytlas
WP
🇵🇱Wojciech Pytlas
ELO 1547
FormWLLWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Pytlas
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+93
H2H12-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-10)