9 Aug · 10:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1354
FormLLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1504
FormLLWLL
34%
66%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 67% (33)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~80 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+150
H2H20-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+150)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-10)