9 Aug · 09:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1655
FormLWWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Poliniewicz
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1405
FormLWWLL
75%
25%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 87% · 1.16· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~77 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+250
H2H12-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+250)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-2)