9 Aug · 10:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1424
FormWLLLL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Chrzescian
RC
🇵🇱Radoslaw Chrzescian
ELO 1579
FormWWLWW
33%
67%
Fair odds · Chrzescian
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~80 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+155
H2H6-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+155)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-2)