9 Aug · 11:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1364
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kwodawski
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1355
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Kwodawski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.