9 Aug · 11:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1511
FormLWWLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Polok
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1606
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Polok
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
3-1
16%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+95
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+95)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)