9 Aug · 11:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1318
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1325
FormLLLWL
49%
51%
🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~80 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H5-17
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.