9 Aug · 12:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BK
🇵🇱Bartosz Kwodawski
ELO 1364
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Malinowski
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1425
FormLWWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Malinowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+61
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)