9 Aug · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1585
FormWWWWL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Gumulinski
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1391
FormWLLLL
70%
30%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~77 pts
3-0
30%
3-1
25%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+194
H2H11-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+194)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-7)