9 Aug · 13:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1516
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1581
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H2-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)