9 Aug · 12:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1421
FormLWWLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Piotrowski
AM
🇵🇱Adrian Myszewski
ELO 1391
FormLLLLW
53%
47%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 40% · 2.53· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+30
H2H7-12
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.