9 Aug · 12:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1528
FormWWLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Oracz
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1386
FormLWLLL
65%
35%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~77 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+142
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+142)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)