9 Aug · 12:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Maciej Sinicki
ELO 1396
FormWWLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sinicki
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1348
FormWLWWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Sinicki
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+48
H2H1-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+48)