9 Aug · 13:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PP
🇵🇱Pawel Polok
ELO 1609
FormLWWLW
73%Win chancemodel fair 1.37Polok
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1386
FormLWLLL
73%
27%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Polok
Model 73% · 1.37vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+223
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+223)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)