9 Aug · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1436
FormWWLWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Malinowski
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1362
FormWLWLL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Malinowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~81 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)