9 Aug · 14:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
RM
🇵🇱Radoslaw Malinowski
ELO 1436
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Malinowski
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1415
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Malinowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+21
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.