9 Aug · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇵🇱Tadeusz Piotrowski
ELO 1402
FormLLLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Piotrowski
MT
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1359
FormWLLWL
55%
45%
Fair odds · Piotrowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 43% · 2.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~80 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+43
H2H9-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+43)