9 Aug · 16:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MO
🇵🇱Michal Oracz
ELO 1517
FormWLWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Gumulinski
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1577
FormWWLWL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+60
H2H2-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)