9 Aug · 18:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1633
FormWWLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1690
FormLWWLL
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kapik🌟Kapik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (135)
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H22-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (22-13)