9 Aug · 17:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1489
FormLWWLW
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Adamus
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1249
FormLLLLL
74%
26%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 66% (79)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 71% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~76 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
10%
Elo Gap+240
H2H13-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+240)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-2)