9 Aug · 17:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1577
FormWWLWL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Gumulinski
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1397
FormWLLWL
69%
31%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~78 pts
3-1
27%
3-0
25%
3-2
17%
1-3
12%
2-3
11%
Elo Gap+180
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+180)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)