9 Aug · 17:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1520
FormWWWWL
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Badura
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1361
FormLLLWL
67%
33%
Fair odds · Badura
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~75 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+159
H2H5-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-1)