9 Aug · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1504
FormLLLWW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Krupa
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1246
FormLLLLL
76%
24%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+258
H2H12-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+258)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-8)