9 Aug · 18:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1512
FormLLLWL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Oracz
GS
🇵🇱Grzegorz Sawicki
ELO 1394
FormLWLLW
63%
37%
🌟Sawicki covers set handicap as underdog 74% (23)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+118
H2H4-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+118)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-3)