9 Aug · 19:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1532
FormWWWWW
78%Win chancemodel fair 1.28Badura
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1246
FormLLLLL
78%
22%
Fair odds · Badura
Model 78% · 1.28vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~73 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+286
H2H25-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+286)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (25-10)