9 Aug · 20:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1439
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1483
FormWLLWW
45%
55%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 84% (19)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+44
H2H34-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+44)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-26)