9 Aug · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
SK
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1500
FormLLLLW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Krupa
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1353
FormLLLLL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Krupa
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)