9 Aug · 20:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1535
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1607
FormWWWWW
42%
58%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+72
H2H8-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-0)