9 Aug · 21:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1243
FormWWLLL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1545
FormWWLLW
21%
79%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 81% · 1.23· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~76 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+302
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+302)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)