10 Aug · 00:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
AM
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Mugowski
ELO 1406
FormLLLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1474
FormLWLWL
42%
58%
🌟Glanowski stays under total as favourite 64% (25)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+68
H2H51-49
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+68)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (51-49)