10 Aug · 00:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1469
FormWLLWL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Baron
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1263
FormLWWWW
71%
29%
🌟Baron rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (51)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+206
H2H7-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+206)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-6)