10 Aug · 00:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1504
FormWWWLL
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Adamus
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1235
FormLLLLW
77%
23%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 66% (79)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~77 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+269
H2H14-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+269)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-2)