10 Aug · 00:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1386
FormLLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
34%
66%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H21-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-8)