10 Aug · 01:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1263
FormLWWWW
77%Win chancemodel fair 1.30Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1538
FormWWLWW
23%
77%
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 77% · 1.30vsMarket 80% · 1.25· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 61%Total ~76 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+275
H2H7-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+275)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-2)