10 Aug · 01:35 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1536
FormWWLLW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Badura
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1235
FormLLLLW
79%
21%
Fair odds · Badura
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~77 pts
3-0
34%
3-1
29%
3-2
16%
2-3
9%
1-3
8%
Elo Gap+301
H2H26-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+301)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-10)