10 Aug · 02:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AL
🇵🇱Adam Linek
ELO 1449
FormLWWWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Glanowski
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1477
FormWLLWL
47%
53%
🌟Linek covers set handicap as underdog 84% (19)
Fair odds · Glanowski
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+28
H2H34-27
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.